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This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?
19.5%
chance
What will the highest level of Bitcoin dominance be in 2025?
65% to 67.9%
43.8%
68% to 69.9%
26.1%
60% to 64.9%
22.9%
and 2 others
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?
28%
chance
Will one of the top 5 largest hedge funds in the U.S. experience a financial blow up in 2025?
9%
chance
Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?
70%
chance
Will China and the EU Reach a Trade or Tariff Agreement in 2025?
25%
chance
5% this week
Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Other Cabinet Member
35.1%
Pete Hegseth
30.4%
Marco Rubio
10%
and 5 others
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Other Renewables (e.g., solar, wind, biomass)
26.8%
Oil
26.2%
Natural Gas
15.7%
and 3 others
U.S. real GDP growth in 2025?
1.1 to 1.5
26.5%
0.6 to 1.0
20.6%
1.6 to 2.0
18.6%
and 7 others
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