Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.
Group
When will Anthropic first report that an AI system has reached or surpassed the following AI R&D risk levels?
no comments0
2 forecasters
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
AI R&D level
median
PDF
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jul 2, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2041
Scheduled resolution:Mar 1, 2041
Authors:
Opened:Jul 2, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2041
Scheduled resolution:Mar 1, 2041
