45 comments
70 forecasters
Will a technical problem be identified as the cause of the crash of China Eastern Airlines Flight 5735?
15%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 15% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 7, 2022
Closes:Jun 25, 2022
Resolved:Nov 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 9, 2022
When will the Chinese-built Comac C929 wide-body aircraft enter commercial operations?
13 Sep 2030
(07 Feb 2029 - Aug 2032)
13 Sep 2030
(07 Feb 2029 - Aug 2032)
4 forecasters
Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
5% chance
77
Will Boeing file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026?
0.1% chance
54