Question

If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?

22
23
Total Forecasters159
Community Prediction
75%
(60% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 75%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:Jun 1, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2022
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics