Question
When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
28 Dec 2025
(14 May 2025 - 16 Nov 2026)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14 May 2025 | — |
| median | 28 Dec 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 16 Nov 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2030 | 1.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 8, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 8, 2023