Question
When will the next person reach 120 years of age?
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
Mar 2037
(Feb 2033 - Dec 2042)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Feb 2033 | — |
| median | Mar 2037 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2042 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2050 | 9.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 22, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2051
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 22, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2051
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024