Question
How many Starlink satellites will be in operation on January 1, 2028?
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction
11.4k satellites
(7321 satellites - 17.5k satellites)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 7321 | — |
| median | 11.39k | — |
| upper 75% | 17.5k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100k | 1.8% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Sep 8, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 10, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Sep 8, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 10, 2019