Question

Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters1131

Community Prediction

(3% - 15%)

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50%

community: 9%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

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Politics

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175+ Democrats supporting NAACP suit against dismantling Department of Education – 105.7 WDNY

•Jul 3, 2025

DOE withholds billions from school for teacher training and afterschool programs in districts as it looks to trim agency

Independent•Jul 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US Department of Education be dissolved before Jan. 20, 2029?

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Will the United States disband the Department of Education through an act of Congress before 2027?

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25%