Question

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters1103

Community Prediction

(2% - 8%)

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50%

community: 4%

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Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Dec 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

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Iran Issues Nuclear Update After U.S. Slams Decision

Newsweek•Jul 3, 2025

SCOTT RITTER: If It Wants, Iran Is Days From the Bomb

Consortium News•Jul 3, 2025

Iran Ready to Enrich Uranium Up to Bomb-Grade Levels: "We Can Do That"

Newsweek•Jul 2, 2025

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