Question

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

44 comments44

Total Forecasters1306

Community Prediction

95%

(90% - 99%)

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50%

community: 95%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Iranian Officials Threaten U.S. and Israel with Renewed Missile Barrages

Breitbart•Jul 2, 2025

935 people killed in Israeli strikes on Iran, official says

•Jul 1, 2025

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Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

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