Question
When will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
09 Aug 2029
(14 Mar 2027 - Oct 2034)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14 Mar 2027 | — |
| median | 09 Aug 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2040 | 20.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025