Question
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 53
Make a Prediction
| Period | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0.1% | |||
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 0.2% | |||
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 9.6% | |||
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 21.2% | |||
Not before 2026 | 68.9% | |||
Total: ?
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
30%
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
65%
Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
30%
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
65%