Question
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?
Total Forecasters93
Community Prediction
3.59T $
(2.98T $ - 4.43T $)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 $ | 0.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2.981T $ | — |
| median | 3.586T $ | — |
| upper 75% | 4.434T $ | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >8T $ | 0.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?
712B
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase spending on defense?
239B
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce spending on energy and environmental tax credits from the Inflation Reduction Act?
890B
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?
712B
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase spending on defense?
239B
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce spending on energy and environmental tax credits from the Inflation Reduction Act?
890B