Question

Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?

9
12
195 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 175

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EntityMe
Israel
22.2%
Hamas
3.8%
Palestinian Authority / Fatah
1%
International Government
0.2%
Shared Power
1%
Contested
71.7%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Authors:
Opened:May 12, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 1, 2025