Question

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction

60%

(50% - 62%)

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50%

community: 60%

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Authors:

pashka24

Opened:

May 19, 2025

Closes:

Jan 19, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 19, 2029

Law

Politics

No, the Formerly Named 'Big Beautiful Bill' Does Not Give Trump the Power to Delay or Cancel Elections

Red State•Jul 3, 2025

FACT FOCUS: Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ does not let him delay or cancel elections

Associated Press•Jul 2, 2025

How Trump's new searchable 'national citizenship system' could change U.S. elections forever

Daily Mail•Jun 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

15%

Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?

25%

When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill?

Authors:

pashka24

Opened:

May 19, 2025

Closes:

Jan 19, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 19, 2029

Law

Politics

No, the Formerly Named 'Big Beautiful Bill' Does Not Give Trump the Power to Delay or Cancel Elections

Red State•Jul 3, 2025

FACT FOCUS: Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ does not let him delay or cancel elections

Associated Press•Jul 2, 2025

How Trump's new searchable 'national citizenship system' could change U.S. elections forever

Daily Mail•Jun 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

15%

Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?

25%