Question
What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the top marginal tax rate for ordinary income in tax year 2026?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
37.1%
(36.8% - 37.9%)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30% | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 36.8% | — |
| median | 37.08% | — |
| upper 75% | 37.9% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >45% | 8.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2025
Closes:Oct 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2025
Closes:Oct 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025
