Question
What will be the disapproval rate of the most disliked AI lab (OpenAI, Anthropic, or Deepmind) on January 1, 2027?
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction
37.5%
(27.7% - 51.9%)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 27.68% | — |
median | 37.49% | — |
upper 75% | 51.94% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Jul 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 31, 2027
Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Jul 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 31, 2027