Question

Will the US and China reach a formal agreement to limit frontier AI training or deployment before 2029?

Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction
9%
(7% - 20%)

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50%
community: 9%
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Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2028