Question

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

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Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction

89%

(50% - 95%)

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50%

community: 89%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 20, 2025

Closes:

Nov 4, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 5, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 4, 2025

Current Events⚡

Elections

2025 Leaderboard

Mamdani is NYC mayoral front-runner — as poll shows socialist beating Cuomo, Adams, Sliwa

New York Post•Jul 4, 2025

Zohran Mamdani's Chances of Beating Cuomo, Adams in NYC Race: Poll

Newsweek•Jul 4, 2025

Zohran Mamdani confirmed as winner of New York mayoral primary

Guardian•Jul 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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What will the year-over-year increase in rent be in New York City in December 2026, according to Zillow?

0.904

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 20, 2025

Closes:

Nov 4, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 5, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 4, 2025

Current Events⚡

Elections

2025 Leaderboard

Mamdani is NYC mayoral front-runner — as poll shows socialist beating Cuomo, Adams, Sliwa

New York Post•Jul 4, 2025

Zohran Mamdani's Chances of Beating Cuomo, Adams in NYC Race: Poll

Newsweek•Jul 4, 2025

Zohran Mamdani confirmed as winner of New York mayoral primary

Guardian•Jul 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Emerson Mnangagwa be president of Zimbabwe on January 1st, 2029?

20%

Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?

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What will the year-over-year increase in rent be in New York City in December 2026, according to Zillow?

0.904