Question

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

30
48
Total Forecasters170
Community Prediction
77%
(60% - 88%)

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50%
community: 77%
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Authors:
Charles
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics