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Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

12%chance

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Oct 28, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2021

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

The Taiwan Tinderbox

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