Question

How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?

Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
4.23%
(1.18% - 35.5%)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%1.18%
median4.229%
upper 75%35.51%
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Opened:Nov 26, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2044
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2021