49 comments
329 forecasters
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
Current estimate
30.4 months
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2150
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2021