Question

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

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Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction

27%

(15% - 37%)

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community: 27%

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Authors:

samuelraasch casens

Opened:

Feb 1, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2046

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 3, 2022

Dorsal Heart's Community Page

Economy & Business

Geopolitics

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US to breed billions of flies and dump them out of aircraft in bid to fight flesh-eating maggot

Guardian•Jul 2, 2025

U.S. plans to begin breeding billions of flies to fight a pest

NBC•Jul 2, 2025

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