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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
12
0
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U.S. Democracy Threat Index
Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding
5
3
3
comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4
comments
6
forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Anish Giri
99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa
99.8%
Hikaru Nakamura
99%
18 others
Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
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Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
9
comments
45
forecasters
Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?
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comments
6
forecasters
Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?
0
comments
3
forecasters
Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?
11
comments
28
forecasters
When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
9
comments
67
forecasters
How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
1
comment
36
forecasters
Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)?
Current estimate
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in 2 days
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