Tournaments
Help the global community model, understand, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges.
Prove your forecasting abilities, support effective policy and decision-making, and win cash prizes.
Learn how tournaments are scored.
Reach out to discuss launching a tournament on what’s important to you.
Active Tournaments


Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
$7,500 Prize Pool
Closes Sep 30, 2025
10 Questions


Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
Closes Dec 31, 2026
25 Questions


Metaculus Cup
$5,000 Prize Pool
Closes Sep 1, 2025
39 Questions


Fiscal Showdown 2025
$5,000 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 1, 2026
19 Questions


POTUS Predictions
$15,000 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 3, 2029
40 Questions


Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮
$5,000 Prize Pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025


Bright Line Watch
$2,500 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 1, 2026


ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
$10,000 Prize Pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025
34 Questions


Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect
$2,500 Prize Pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025


Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Closes Dec 31, 2025
85 Questions


Chinese AI Chips
Closes Jan 1, 2033
58 Questions


Climate Tipping Points
$5,000 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 1, 2027
104 Questions
Question Series

Current Events⚡
7 Questions

Iran-Israel Conflict
16 Questions


AI 2027
19 Questions


Forecasting the Big Beautiful Bill
17 Questions


Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
$30,000 Prize Pool
350 Questions


USAID Outlook
17 Questions


Forecast With GiveWell
13 Questions


🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽
32 Questions


Situational Awareness
9 Questions


2024 Electoral Consequences
36 Questions


Conditional Trees: AI Risk
13 Questions


Five Years After AGI
31 Questions
Indexes
Archive


Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2
$7,500 Prize Pool
Closed Jun 30, 2025
45 Questions


Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
$25,000 Prize Pool
Closed Mar 31, 2025
53 Questions


Brazil Prediction Tournament - 1st Quarter
$1,500 Prize Pool
Closed Apr 1, 2025
17 Questions


Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
$30,000 Prize Pool
409 Questions